{"id":3135,"date":"2012-12-18T10:00:38","date_gmt":"2012-12-18T15:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/?p=3135"},"modified":"2012-12-18T10:00:38","modified_gmt":"2012-12-18T15:00:38","slug":"gambling-and-the-local-economy-part-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/gambling-and-the-local-economy-part-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Gambling and the local economy part 2"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_3135\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"3135\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 -270 -1585 -649 -135 -104 -459 -423 -483 -476 -23 -49 -22 -139 2 -186 73 -142 361 -457 571 -626 285 -228 642 -407 990 -497 242 -63 336 -73 660 -74 310 0 370 5 595 52 535 111 1045 392 1455 803 122 121 250 273 275 326 19 41 19 137 0 174 -41 79 -309 363 -465 492 -447 370 -946 591 -1479 653 -113 14 -422 18 -536 8z m395 -428 c171 -34 330 -124 456 -258 112 -119 167 -219 211 -378 27 -96 24 -300 -5 -401 -72 -255 -236 -447 -474 -557 -132 -62 -201 -76 -368 -76 -167 0 -236 14 -368 76 -213 98 -373 271 -451 485 -162 444 86 934 547 1084 153 49 292 57 452 25z m909 -232 c222 -123 408 -262 593 -441 76 -74 138 -139 138 -144 0 -16 -233 -242 -330 -319 -155 -123 -309 -223 -461 -299 l-81 -41 32 46 c18 26 49 83 70 128 143 306 141 649 -6 957 -25 52 -61 116 -79 142 l-34 47 45 -20 c26 -10 76 -36 113 -56z m-2057 25 c-40 -58 -105 -190 -130 -263 -110 -324 -59 -707 132 -981 25 -35 42 -64 37 -64 -19 0 -241 119 -326 174 -188 122 -406 314 -532 468 l-58 71 108 103 c185 178 428 349 672 473 66 33 121 60 123 61 2 0 -10 -19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/media.futuresmag.com\/futuresmag\/article\/2012\/03\/14\/iStock_000011699219XSmall-resize-380x300.jpg\" alt=\"Money\" width=\"300\" \/><strong>Seventy three dollars.<\/strong>\u00a0It&#8217;s not a large amount if you&#8217;re middle class, certainly not if you&#8217;re Conrad Black. But for\u00a0others it can be significant. If you&#8217;re on minimum wage, it&#8217;s\u00a0a full day&#8217;s wage, before taxes. If you&#8217;re a senior on a fixed income, it&#8217;s a week&#8217;s groceries.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s also the average amount a typical gambler spends at\u00a0one time in a gaming facility in Ontario, according to the answers I got from my questions sent months ago to the OLG.\u00a0The clerk gave me their answers last night, only after the discussion about extending the OLG deadline.<\/p>\n<p>Seventy three dollars. It will get spent in 1.75 hours; the average length of a visit to a casino. That&#8217;s about $41 an hour.<\/p>\n<p>When multiplied by 12.8, it totals $934.40. Twelve-point-eight is the average number of times a typical gambler visits a gaming facility in a year. The average gambler will spend almost $1,000 every year in a gaming facility.<\/p>\n<p>Again, it&#8217;s not a stunning amount. If you have some discretionary income, it&#8217;s equivalent to a mid-level laptop computer, an iPad maxed out with all the accessories, a good, flat-screen TV, a good custom-made ukulele, a case of premium scotch or tequila. An air\u00a0flight to Mexico or Cuba. Or for others, it&#8217;s a month&#8217;s rent. Three months&#8217; car payments. Groceries for a family for two months, maybe longer.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Sterling MA on gambling\" href=\"http:\/\/www.sterling-ma.gov\/Pages\/SterlingMA_Police\/gamble?textPage=1\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" src=\"http:\/\/www.sterling-ma.gov\/Pages\/SterlingMA_Police\/0188A784-000F8513.6\/facts-image_md.jpg\" alt=\"Problem gambling\" width=\"300\" \/><\/a>Consider\u00a0the potential problem gamblers here in Collingwood. I estimated them to be about 700 people in <a title=\"Gambling, Money &amp; Statistics\" href=\"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/gambling-money-and-statistics\/\">my last blog post<\/a>\u00a0on gambling, based on the percentages OLG provides.<\/p>\n<p>Multiply 700 by $934.40 and you get more than $654,000.<\/p>\n<p>Assuming these 700 people\u00a0attend a local gaming facility (a windowless warehouse with up to 300 slot machines &#8211; the OLG gets prickly if you refer to them as &#8220;slot barns&#8221;), and spend the same amount as average gamblers, Collingwood&#8217;s problem gamblers\u00a0could spend $654,080 a year\u00a0in a gaming facility. But of course, they will probably spend more, because they&#8217;re problem gamblers. I&#8217;ll come back to that.<\/p>\n<p>And what about those others who are\u00a0 not problem gamblers yet, but are\u00a0&#8220;at risk&#8221; from becoming problem gamblers? That&#8217;s\u00a0about <a title=\"Money, Gambling &amp; Statistics\" href=\"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/gambling-money-and-statistics\/\">1,200 more local people<\/a>. If they are also &#8220;average&#8221; gamblers, they will spend about $1.2 million annually in the facility.<\/p>\n<p>Add these two groups together &#8211; the smallest percentage of gamblers but the most problematic\u00a0&#8211; and they will collectively spend almost $2 million a year in a local gaming facility. That&#8217;s money not going into the local economy.<\/p>\n<p>Well, okay, five percent of it will come back to us: the town will get about $93,000 from our problem gamblers. For every &#8216;average&#8221; person who attends a potential gaming facility, the town will get $49. Win or lose, we tax you for playing.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s say\u00a0our\u00a0problem gamblers\u00a0spend the same amount per hour ($41), but stay\u00a0three hours per visit, instead of the average 1.75. That means they could spend about $125 per visit, or $1,600 a year &#8211; about $1.12 million a year for those 700 people. And then there are those &#8220;potential problem gamblers&#8230;&#8221; If they spend 3 hours per stay, we get more than $3.1 million spent by 2,000 Collingwood residents.<\/p>\n<p>You can endlessly speculate on these figures, guessing how much people will spend versus how much intervention a gaming facility will use to keep them out. There&#8217;s no concrete number we can use, no absolute figures. Just realize that the potential exists for local residents to spend a lot of money gambling.<\/p>\n<p>Personally, I would rather see that money spent at local stores, eating at local restaurants, buying food, furniture, books, musical instruments, cameras, clothing, pet supplies&#8230; but with the OLG launching online gambling n 2013, the money may be spent outside local businesses even without a slot warehouse in town.<\/p>\n<p>You can use these numbers to work out a few possible numbers about attendance. If, as the OLG suggests, the town might get $1 to $2 million a year, a gaming facility would need to bring in between $19 and $38 million a year for us to get our rake-off.<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">*<\/span><\/p>\n<p>To get $19 million, at the average $934 a year, you need more than 20,000 people gambling there every year. You need more than 40,000 to get $38 million. To get the unsupported-by-OLG-but-often-quoted-locally\u00a0figure of $3 million per year to the town, you need to have 60,000 &#8220;average&#8221; gamblers annually.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s a lot of wear and tear on our infrastructure. Twenty thousand more cars a year on the highway and on local roads. Or forty, even sixty thousand. And more&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Twenty thousand people at\u00a0a year-round slot barn averages to 55 people a day. Not very many, especially for 300 slot machines. Forty thousand means 110 gamblers a day. But of course the visits will not be homogenized, but bunched at holidays and weekends (yes, these facilities are open Christmas and Easter&#8230;).<\/p>\n<p>And of course averages are just snapshots of the middle ground. there will be people who spend less, other who will spend more. Some will come for a couple of hours of entertainment and spend $25. Others will spend a full day in front of a machine pumping quarters into its ever-hungry mouth.<\/p>\n<p>A municipality\u00a0needs to plan for the days when the slot warehouse will be full, with people coming and going 24 hours a day. We&#8217;ll need every penny of that revenue to upgrade and widen roads, install traffic lights, hire more police and bylaw officers to control parking and speeding&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>I have yet to be\u00a0convinced by any argument that a &#8220;gaming facility&#8221; offers any significant benefits to the town aside from a handful of hospitality-sector jobs.<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Problem gambling\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nrgs.org.au\/cms\/selfdiagnosis\/thecycle\/15\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nrgs.org.au\/images\/subpage\/thumb\/cycle.jpg\" alt=\"Gambling cycle\" width=\"500\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">~~~~~<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">*<\/span> According to the OLG, it already takes approx. $6 million a year\u00a0in Collingwood from <em>net<\/em> sales of lottery tickets at the 22 locations that sell them here. This would be on top of that.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_3135\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"3135\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 -270 -1585 -649 -135 -104 -459 -423 -483 -476 -23 -49 -22 -139 2 -186 73 -142 361 -457 571 -626 285 -228 642 -407 990 -497 242 -63 336 -73 660 -74 310 0 370 5 595 52 535 111 1045 392 1455 803 122 121 250 273 275 326 19 41 19 137 0 174 -41 79 -309 363 -465 492 -447 370 -946 591 -1479 653 -113 14 -422 18 -536 8z m395 -428 c171 -34 330 -124 456 -258 112 -119 167 -219 211 -378 27 -96 24 -300 -5 -401 -72 -255 -236 -447 -474 -557 -132 -62 -201 -76 -368 -76 -167 0 -236 14 -368 76 -213 98 -373 271 -451 485 -162 444 86 934 547 1084 153 49 292 57 452 25z m909 -232 c222 -123 408 -262 593 -441 76 -74 138 -139 138 -144 0 -16 -233 -242 -330 -319 -155 -123 -309 -223 -461 -299 l-81 -41 32 46 c18 26 49 83 70 128 143 306 141 649 -6 957 -25 52 -61 116 -79 142 l-34 47 45 -20 c26 -10 76 -36 113 -56z m-2057 25 c-40 -58 -105 -190 -130 -263 -110 -324 -59 -707 132 -981 25 -35 42 -64 37 -64 -19 0 -241 119 -326 174 -188 122 -406 314 -532 468 l-58 71 108 103 c185 178 428 349 672 473 66 33 121 60 123 61 2 0 -10 -19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p>Seventy three dollars.\u00a0It&#8217;s not a large amount if you&#8217;re middle class, certainly not if you&#8217;re Conrad Black. But for\u00a0others it can be significant. If you&#8217;re on minimum wage, it&#8217;s\u00a0a full day&#8217;s wage, before taxes. If you&#8217;re a senior on a fixed income, it&#8217;s a week&#8217;s groceries. It&#8217;s also the average amount a typical gambler spends at\u00a0one time in a gaming facility in Ontario, according to the answers I got from my questions sent months ago to the OLG.\u00a0The clerk gave me their answers last night, only after the discussion about extending the OLG deadline. Seventy three dollars. It will get \u2026&#8230;&#8230; click below for more \u2193<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[11,4,167,10,96],"tags":[205,618,140,113],"class_list":["post-3135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-federal-and-provincial-politics","category-collingwood","category-games-gaming","category-municipal-politics","category-social-order-disorder","tag-casino","tag-collingwood","tag-council","tag-spending"],"a3_pvc":{"activated":true,"total_views":7846,"today_views":0},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3135","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3135"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3135\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3154,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3135\/revisions\/3154"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3135"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3135"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3135"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}