{"id":3776,"date":"2013-02-10T18:51:32","date_gmt":"2013-02-10T23:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/?p=3776"},"modified":"2013-02-10T18:51:32","modified_gmt":"2013-02-10T23:51:32","slug":"doomsday-averted-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/doomsday-averted-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Doomsday averted (again)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_3776\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"3776\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 -270 -1585 -649 -135 -104 -459 -423 -483 -476 -23 -49 -22 -139 2 -186 73 -142 361 -457 571 -626 285 -228 642 -407 990 -497 242 -63 336 -73 660 -74 310 0 370 5 595 52 535 111 1045 392 1455 803 122 121 250 273 275 326 19 41 19 137 0 174 -41 79 -309 363 -465 492 -447 370 -946 591 -1479 653 -113 14 -422 18 -536 8z m395 -428 c171 -34 330 -124 456 -258 112 -119 167 -219 211 -378 27 -96 24 -300 -5 -401 -72 -255 -236 -447 -474 -557 -132 -62 -201 -76 -368 -76 -167 0 -236 14 -368 76 -213 98 -373 271 -451 485 -162 444 86 934 547 1084 153 49 292 57 452 25z m909 -232 c222 -123 408 -262 593 -441 76 -74 138 -139 138 -144 0 -16 -233 -242 -330 -319 -155 -123 -309 -223 -461 -299 l-81 -41 32 46 c18 26 49 83 70 128 143 306 141 649 -6 957 -25 52 -61 116 -79 142 l-34 47 45 -20 c26 -10 76 -36 113 -56z m-2057 25 c-40 -58 -105 -190 -130 -263 -110 -324 -59 -707 132 -981 25 -35 42 -64 37 -64 -19 0 -241 119 -326 174 -188 122 -406 314 -532 468 l-58 71 108 103 c185 178 428 349 672 473 66 33 121 60 123 61 2 0 -10 -19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" alt=\"Asteroid 2014 DA14\" src=\"http:\/\/dkue3ufa3e1f8.cloudfront.net\/files\/images\/Asteroid%202012%20DA14.gif\" width=\"300\" \/><strong>Seventeen thousand miles<\/strong>. Seems like a long way, but it&#8217;s less than one tenth the distance from here to the moon, and it&#8217;s within the satellite belt. In cosmic terms, it&#8217;s frighteningly close. Consider that the Sun is 93 million miles way, and it affects everything on this planet.<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">*<\/span><\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s still a miss, though. <a title=\"NASA small body tracker (needs Java)\" href=\"http:\/\/ssd.jpl.nasa.gov\/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2012+DA14&amp;orb=1\" target=\"_blank\">Asteroid DA14<\/a> will race by Earth at 27,700 kPH, February 15. But it won&#8217;t hit us. <em>Whew.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>You might be able to see it, if you know <a title=\"Science 20\" href=\"http:\/\/www.science20.com\/science_20\/doomsday_prophets_excited_about_asteroid_2012_da14_first_apocalypse_2013-103254\" target=\"_blank\">where to look<\/a>. You&#8217;ll have to be fast, though &#8211; it will move VERY quickly across the sky. And you&#8217;ll need at least binoculars &#8211; even at 13 storeys tall, it won&#8217;t be visible to the naked eye.<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Wikipoedia\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2012_DA14\" target=\"_blank\">Wikipedia<\/a> tells us this chunk of rock called 2012 DA14 is<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;a near-Earth asteroid with an estimated diameter of about 45 meters (148 ft) and an estimated mass of about 130,000 metric tons<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Some sites say it is 62m wide, but it probably is irregular in size, thus the difference. Even so, 45m is BIG if it hits us; big enough to wipe out a small city. The <a title=\"Wikipedia\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Tunguska_event\" target=\"_blank\">1908 Tunguska event<\/a> was caused by an object also less than 100m and it levelled several hundred square miles of forest. Were it to enter the atmosphere, it could also become an aerial blast like Tungsuka.<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Space.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.space.com\/19686-asteroid-2012-da14-earth-flyby-nasa.html\" target=\"_blank\">Space.com<\/a> notes:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Asteroid 2012 DA14&#8217;s close encounter is also a record-breaking celestial event&#8230; An object this large only passes this close to the Earth about once every 40 years, and likely only hits the planet once every 1,200 years&#8230;The asteroid will not only pass between Earth and the moon&#8217;s orbit, but also fly lower than the ring of geosynchronous communications, weather and navigation satellites that fly high above the planet. Asteroid 2012 DA14 will be 5,000 miles (8,046 km) closer to Earth than those satellites during the flyby.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Pretty close. But a long way from the ISS, which orbits between 330 and 410 kms above the surface.<\/p>\n<p>Read about what an asteroid is <a title=\"What is an asteroid?\" href=\"http:\/\/www.policymic.com\/articles\/25294\/asteroid-2012-da14-what-is-an-asteroid-anyhow\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> &#8211; you&#8217;ll also get an interesting comment on challenges to some cosmological ideas about how these bodies formed. If you haven&#8217;t been following the recent announcements, several companies have declared their interest in mining these asteroids. The <a title=\"Edmonton Journal\" href=\"http:\/\/www.edmontonjournal.com\/technology\/space\/Close+call+Asteroid+2012+DA14+highlights+space+race\/7921050\/story.html\" target=\"_blank\">Edmonton Journal<\/a> noted earlier this month:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>It may sound more like science fiction than imminent reality, but two U.S. companies have been outlining plans to harvest asteroids for mineral wealth in what they hope will be a 21st century equivalent of gold and oil rushes.<br \/>\nThey intend to deploy small satellites to prospect asteroids, then effectively lasso them, transporting them into Earth\u2019s orbit to harvest precious metals and liquids.<br \/>\nThe newest entrant to the fast-developing asteroid mining world is Deep Space Industries, which has just unveiled ambitious plans to send prospecting spacecraft in two years\u2019 time and begin extraction by 2020.<br \/>\n\u201cIt is exciting to be present at the beginning of the second space age, led by commercial businesses,\u201d David Gump, Deep Space\u2019s chief executive, told The Sunday Telegraph.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Anyway, it&#8217;s not the apocalypse, Friday, but it is an exciting moment for science and might be a seminal moment for space commerce.<\/p>\n<p><strong>~~~~~<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">*<\/span> It isn&#8217;t <a title=\"Wingnut site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thetruthbehindthescenes.org\/2012\/03\/04\/deadly-asteroid-2012-da14-bounds-towards-earth-out-of-the-blue\/\" target=\"_blank\">a UFO<\/a> from your <a title=\"YouTube crazies\" href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Sm0-u3Ql8jw\" target=\"_blank\">favourite imaginary planet<\/a>, sorry to spoil that for you. It&#8217;s a lifeless chunk of rock. Get over it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_3776\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"3776\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 -270 -1585 -649 -135 -104 -459 -423 -483 -476 -23 -49 -22 -139 2 -186 73 -142 361 -457 571 -626 285 -228 642 -407 990 -497 242 -63 336 -73 660 -74 310 0 370 5 595 52 535 111 1045 392 1455 803 122 121 250 273 275 326 19 41 19 137 0 174 -41 79 -309 363 -465 492 -447 370 -946 591 -1479 653 -113 14 -422 18 -536 8z m395 -428 c171 -34 330 -124 456 -258 112 -119 167 -219 211 -378 27 -96 24 -300 -5 -401 -72 -255 -236 -447 -474 -557 -132 -62 -201 -76 -368 -76 -167 0 -236 14 -368 76 -213 98 -373 271 -451 485 -162 444 86 934 547 1084 153 49 292 57 452 25z m909 -232 c222 -123 408 -262 593 -441 76 -74 138 -139 138 -144 0 -16 -233 -242 -330 -319 -155 -123 -309 -223 -461 -299 l-81 -41 32 46 c18 26 49 83 70 128 143 306 141 649 -6 957 -25 52 -61 116 -79 142 l-34 47 45 -20 c26 -10 76 -36 113 -56z m-2057 25 c-40 -58 -105 -190 -130 -263 -110 -324 -59 -707 132 -981 25 -35 42 -64 37 -64 -19 0 -241 119 -326 174 -188 122 -406 314 -532 468 l-58 71 108 103 c185 178 428 349 672 473 66 33 121 60 123 61 2 0 -10 -19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p>Seventeen thousand miles. Seems like a long way, but it&#8217;s less than one tenth the distance from here to the moon, and it&#8217;s within the satellite belt. In cosmic terms, it&#8217;s frighteningly close. Consider that the Sun is 93 million miles way, and it affects everything on this planet.* It&#8217;s still a miss, though. Asteroid DA14 will race by Earth at 27,700 kPH, February 15. But it won&#8217;t hit us. Whew. You might be able to see it, if you know where to look. You&#8217;ll have to be fast, though &#8211; it will move VERY quickly across the sky. And \u2026&#8230;&#8230; click below for more \u2193<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[62,5,96],"tags":[89,271,29],"class_list":["post-3776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-world-politics","category-science-technology","category-social-order-disorder","tag-apocalypse","tag-astronomy","tag-science"],"a3_pvc":{"activated":true,"total_views":5215,"today_views":0},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3776"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3776\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3781,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3776\/revisions\/3781"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ianchadwick.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}